BOSS

Market Dashboard

A live snapshot of one exchange/asset: spot, implied and realized volatility, the IV term structure and smile, the forward curve, and the scanner's own top candidates for the selected expiry.

Market Overview

Spot$86033.2100
ATM IV 7d?32.0%
RV 7d?15.6%
IV − RV?+16.4

Realized volatility last computed 05:38:40 UTC.

Term Structure?

At-the-money implied volatility across every expiry currently tracked.

Volatility Smile?

Implied volatility across strikes for the selected expiry (the out-of-the-money side at each strike), within 3 standard deviations of the forward.

Forward Curve?

Each expiry's forward price as quoted by the exchange itself, against the spot index -- the market's implied carry (funding/interest) for holding the asset until that date.

Expiry DTE? Forward Basis Annualized
02 Oct 2026 0.0 $86046.5900 +0.016% —
03 Oct 2026 1.0 $86038.5200 +0.006% —
04 Oct 2026 2.0 $86052.8700 +0.023% —
05 Oct 2026 3.0 $86073.5300 +0.047% —
09 Oct 2026 7.0 $86122.8900 +0.104% +5.4%
16 Oct 2026 14.0 $86211.5500 +0.207% +5.4%
23 Oct 2026 21.0 $86299.9400 +0.310% +5.4%
30 Oct 2026 28.0 $86387.6500 +0.412% +5.4%
27 Nov 2026 56.0 $86759.7700 +0.845% +5.5%
25 Dec 2026 84.0 $87091.6600 +1.230% +5.3%

The annualized rate is shown only from 7 days out: below that, a few dollars of ordinary price noise between forward and index turn into meaningless double-digit annualized numbers.

History

How this market got here. DVOL and its realized counterpart come from Deribit's free public history, back to March 2021; the rest is BOSS's own recording of the selected exchange's surface, every 5 minutes and every hour. Recording since 2026-09-29 17:00 UTC.

DVOL vs. Realized Volatility (Deribit)

Deribit's 30-day implied volatility index against the 30-day volatility the perpetual actually realized. Implied above realized means options were priced for more movement than happened.

DVOL (30-day implied) Realized, 30 days

ATM Implied Volatility

At-the-money IV at constant 30- and 7-day maturities, interpolated in total variance between listed expiries.

30 days 7 days

Source: rebuilt per day from Deribit's historical option trades (median trade IV by delta band) -- the recording doesn't cover this period yet. A different estimator than the recording: on days of extreme moves it can sit well below DVOL's end-of-day close.

25Δ Skew and Risk Reversal (30 days)

Skew: 25-delta put IV minus ATM IV, in volatility points -- how much more downside protection costs. Risk reversal: 25-delta call minus 25-delta put; negative means puts are priced above calls.

Put skew (25Δ put − ATM) Risk reversal (25Δ call − 25Δ put)

Source: rebuilt per day from Deribit's historical option trades (median trade IV by delta band) -- the recording doesn't cover this period yet. A different estimator than the recording: on days of extreme moves it can sit well below DVOL's end-of-day close.

Term Structure: Now vs. a Week Ago

ATM IV by days to expiry, now and from the hourly record closest to 7 days ago (the oldest one, until a week has been recorded).

Now 2026-09-25 00:00 UTC

The earlier curve is rebuilt from that day's Deribit trades (DTE at the day's noon).

Interesting Structures

The scanner's own top candidates, narrowed to this exchange, asset and expiry.

Strategy Credit/Debit Max Profit? Max Loss? Prob. of Profit? Max Profit / Max Loss?
Short Call Butterfly87000/89000/92000 -$13.4587 $1013.4587 -$1986.5413 70% 0.51×
Bear Call Spread87000/92000 -$849.0127 $849.0127 -$4150.9873 68% 0.20×
Bull Put Spread81000/85000 -$671.8882 $671.8882 -$3328.1118 68% 0.20×
Call Ratio Backspread87000/90000 -$241.1907 Uncapped -$2758.8093 67% —
Short Call Ladder87000/89000/92000 -$263.2635 Uncapped -$1736.7365 65% —
Short Iron Condor82000/85000/94000/95000 -$559.3686 $559.3686 -$2440.6314 65% 0.23×
Short Call Condor86000/88000/90000/92000 -$409.7017 $409.7017 -$1590.2983 62% 0.26×
Put Ratio Backspread83000/86000 -$310.1023 Uncapped -$2689.8977 60% —

Probability of profit uses a single (ATM) volatility and ignores skew, so it is an approximation. A high Max Profit / Max Loss usually comes with a low probability of profit, and vice versa -- neither column alone says a trade is good. The default order ranks structures that risk more than 5x what they can make (below 0.20×) after the rest, and uncapped-loss structures last.

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